After the price hit $ 52,000 on Monday, Bitcoin had lost over $ 4,000 in a single day. Is BTC entering a deeper correction, or where is the local bottom?
Technical Analysis
Short-Term Analysis
Last week the bitcoin price broke above a mid-term descending trend line on the 4-hour timeframe. After completing a pullback, the price increased again and touched $52k resistance (Monday).
However, the market did not have enough momentum to continue the rally (low volume), and the bears won the battle. For now, BTC is supported by the Static Support Zone – as can be seen in the following chart.
If BTC loses the first support zone, the $45k-46k range will be the next critical supporting level. Additionally, looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that the lower band of the Bollinger is getting closer to the oversold territory; hence, we likely see a positive correction at some point.
Daily Analysis
Bitcoin was unable to exit the Ichimoku cloud during the day. Now the main cryptocurrency had lost Tenkan-Sen as a backing.
Based on the historical reactions that the price has shown before, bitcoin must break above the Ichimoku Cloud in order to regain its bullish momentum. As shown on the chart below, the green zones might serve as strong supports levels on the daily time frame.
Chain analysis
Currently, 26% of the supply is in loss territory. Historically, the market has experienced a 32% supply loss to a July low of $ 29,000.
Therefore, there is a high possibility that the $40K-$42K range will be retested, and likely become a local bottom for the midterm. As a matter of fact, the lowest level was reached amid the March-2020 COVID crash, where almost 60% of the supply was in loss.
