The price of bitcoin is down more than 33% from the crypto asset’s all-time high captured about a month ago on November 10. A while back, people expected the price of bitcoin to be extremely bullish during the months of November and December, and many expected a $100K bitcoin price by the year’s end. However, during the last 13 years, more so than not, bitcoin prices are typically bearish in the last two months of the year.
Bearish market sentiment at the end of 2021 is a common occurrence, looking at previous Bitcoin years
There have been a few occasions where BTC has had a monumental run in November and December in terms of price gains. This year hasn’t been so bullish and people don’t realize that for most of Bitcoin’s life these months have been bearish most of the time. For example, after bitcoin started seeing real value and an exchange rate in USD from September to November 2010, after November 10, just like this year, the price of BTC rose from a high of 0, $ 35 apiece to $ 0.17 on December 10, 2010. That’s a loss of 51.42% of the fiat value of bitcoin over 30 days 11 years ago.
In 2011, BTC had a decent bull run jumping from $2 per unit in mid-November that year to $6 by the year’s end, or a 200% increase in USD value. In 2012, bitcoin (BTC) meandered between $10 and $13.50 during the months of November and December. The price had already tapped $13.50 per coin in August and remained lackluster until January 2013. In 2013 during the months of November and December, BTC’s price was once again bullish. In mid-December 2013, BTC’s price came awfully close to $1,200 per coin.
The months of November and December 2014 were bearish as BTC slipped from $471 per coin in mid-September to just above $300 per coin by mid-December 2014. The price of BTC lost 33.12% during that period of time in 2014. The price of BTC in 2015 was again bearish during the two months and in 2016 the price was bullish in November and December. 2017 was a bullish time for BTC during those two months, as the price came very close to $20K per unit.
The following year, in the first week of November 2018, the price of BTC was bearish and valued at $ 6,376 per unit. In the first week of December 2018, the price was $ 4,139 per BTC. It’s safe to say that these two months have been bearish and at the end of the year BTC was trading at $ 3,865 per unit. In 2019, around October, BTC was trading for $ 9,223 per BTC and on November 4, 2019, it was trading for $ 9,424 per coin. Ten days later, BTC was trading for $ 8,639.18 and on December 23, 2019, bitcoin was trading hands for $ 7,324 per unit. The last two months of 2019 were definitely bearish in terms of price movement.
Following 2020’s Bullish Rise in November and December, Bitcoin’s Price Still 90% Higher Than Last Year
The end of 2020 was decent for bitcoin (BTC) prices and by October 13, 2020, bitcoin’s value was $11,425 per coin. Ten days later the price was $12,931 and by the end of 2020 on December 23, BTC was swapping hands for $23,241 per unit. The data clearly shows that November and December 2020 were considered a bullish two months for bitcoin (BTC). Of course, we all know what happened in 2021, and the new bitcoin price highs that were recorded this year.
Although BTC is 33% below the all-time high of $ 69,000 per unit of crypto asset, it is still 90% above the price it was holding at this time last year. However, bitcoin (BTC) price sentiment in November and December 2021 has been bearish and in a continuing downtrend. Bitcoin supporters will have to wait and see how the rest of December 2021 plays out and whether it miraculously goes from bearish to bullish by then, or by the first month of 2022.
If the last two months of the first year of bitcoin (2009, with no real-world prices) are considered bearish, and 2021’s November and December are also deemed bearish, then only 5 out of the 13 years of bitcoin’s existence have seen the November and December time interval as bullish for BTC.
